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How to Escape the Morass in Ukraine

Geopolitical gamesmanship, lies, and a horrific death toll have stained the ongoing crisis in Ukraine.

Security experts recently declared the battle to be at a "stalemate," which provides insight on the discouraging situation Ukrainian forces are in. The war in Ukraine seems set to follow in the footsteps of earlier conflicts, resulting in a lengthy standoff with no obvious resolution in sight, despite the backing supplied by the United States and its allies.

According to experts, the Russian leadership believes they can outlast Western assistance. This could mean that both sides are now unable to obtain a clear edge in the dispute. The US and NATO provided weaponry, like Storm Shadow missiles and cluster bombs, but these are not the game-changing tools the Ukrainian military had hoped for. Recent evaluation emphasises the limitations of the military assistance given, highlighting the impasse that has developed in the war-torn region.

Early in June, Ukrainian forces began a counteroffensive in an effort to retake lost ground. But there hasn't been much progress, and the number of casualties has been rising. Some 20% of Ukraine's deployed weapons was reportedly damaged or destroyed within the first few weeks of the counteroffensive. Although fatalities dropped to 10% in the following weeks, the number of Ukrainian lives lost is still unknown.

The counteroffensive's choice to proceed despite the understanding that large territorial gains were unlikely begs the question of why the attack was launched in the first place. Prior to the operation, media reports and leaked papers showed that the US did not expect Ukraine to retake a sizeable amount of territory.

However, the Biden administration supported the attack and opposed any chance of a ceasefire. This seeming contradiction indicates that there might be more strategic considerations at work in the fight than just short-term military advantages.

The protracted struggle in Ukraine is similar to earlier confrontations that ended in deadlocks with little advancement. The battle has evolved into an attrition-based war as a result of the geopolitical complexity, regional dynamics, and the involvement of significant global forces. History has demonstrated that such confrontations frequently result in protracted suffering for those caught in the crossfire as the political and military impasse continues.

A military solution alone will not end the war in Ukraine, it is becoming more and more clear given the difficulties encountered on the battlefield. Diplomatic efforts must take primacy if we are to end the vicious cycle of dishonesty and misery. International players, such as the US, Russia, and European nations, should step up their efforts to promote dialogue and work towards a lasting solution.

All sides involved can only expect to escape the morass that has engulfed the country for far too long by engaging in conversation, making concessions, and making a sincere effort to bring about peace.


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